4.1 Overview of the 2030 Mediterranean power systems
All the results are presented for the Mediterranean countries perimeter, which corresponds to all Med-TSO members as well as Bosnia Herzegovina, Malta, and Syria, as shown in the block diagram below.
Figure 13. Mediterranean countries
The evolution of electricity consumption for 2030, between moderate trend growth and dynamic new uses of electricity
Table 6 shows the annual demand forecasts for all Mediterranean countries up to 2030 for the three scenarios. Given the massive impact of COVID-19 in 2020, the reference year for the electricity demand is 2019. The scope of electricity demand incorporates all uses of electricity (losses included), as well as new uses such as electric mobility. It includes the share of consumption satisfied by local production (for example self-produced electricity through solar panels on the roof in the residential sector). However, the electricity consumption of electrolyzers, which constitutes an energy transformation from electricity to hydrogen, is excluded from the scope of electricity demand.
Electricity Demand (TWh)
2020
2400
2680
2690
Demand increase
-
+19%
+33%
+34%
Compound annual growth rate (CAGR)
-
+1.8%
+2.9%
+2.9%
Table 6. Electricity demand forecast in 2030
The Inertial scenario shows an extension of historical growth reflected over the next decade, with
consumption reaching 2400 TWh by 2030, i.e., an increase of 19% compared to the reference year of 2019.
This corresponds to an average annual growth of +1.8%. In this scenario, the deployment of new and more
efficient electricity end-uses remains moderate.
In both the Proactive and Mediterranean Ambition scenarios, the demand growth is significantly higher, with
nearly 2700 TWh in 2030 (+33% vs 2019). This corresponds to an average annual growth of +2.9% in
electricity consumption over a decade, driven by favourable economic and demographic hypotheses, but
also with a much higher deployment of new uses of electricity, for example in mobility, and more generally,
an increase in the share of electricity in the overall energy consumption.
This global growth includes contrasting dynamics between Mediterranean countries
The evolution of electricity demand varies significantly among the Mediterranean countries, both when
looking at past trends and at the 2030 time-horizon, as illustrated below.
Figure 14. The electricity demand by Region and for the Mediterranean area in 2019 and for the three 2030 scenarios
Where the distribution of Mediterranean countries in sub-regions is as follows:
Figure 15. Distribution of Mediterranean countries in sub-regions
For all the scenarios, the demand growth remains smaller in the countries of the North-West region
compared to the other countries, confirming the trend observed in the past decade. Consequently, the
electricity consumption of the countries located in the North-West of the region passes from 55% of overall
Mediterranean consumption in 2019 to around 47% by 2030 in the three scenarios. Focusing on the North-
West region, it must be noted that the growth observed in the two development scenarios (+17%) is much
higher than in the Inertial scenario, reflecting the positive electrification of energy consumption.
This difference between scenarios is less visible for the other regions, on the one hand due to the strong
correlation between macroeconomic and demographic projections and consumption and on the other,
because of the slow electrification anticipated in these areas.
Other complementarities among Mediterranean countries
While the evolution of annual electricity consumption among Mediterranean countries by 2030 provides an
initial indication of exchange opportunities, a more detailed investigation on a seasonal basis could provide
additional information.
The seasonal variability of electricity consumption is a direct consequence of the use of electricity for heating
in winter and for air conditioning in summer. Excessive consumption during these periods is therefore the
result of two combined elements: first, the general climatic conditions in a country and the temperature
range covered during the year; second, the development of heating and air conditioning equipment and
building construction techniques. Therefore, a colder climate does not necessarily imply an increase in
electricity consumption in winter, especially when the general heating fuel is natural gas. An accurate
modelling of those phenomena is not only important to assess the seasonal demand profile, but above all to
measure the effect of the strongest cold or hot waves that can strike any countries in exceptional moments.
This question is of prime importance for addressing the security of supply issue and sizing of peak generation
capacity.
Figure 16 illustrates the seasonality of the demand (in the Inertial scenario) for each Mediterranean
country.
Figure 16. Hourly demand in the National Development scenarios for each Mediterranean country (the stronger the colour, the higher the demand)
In France, in several Balkan countries, and in Palestine, the peak load is observed during winter where the
demands for heating are higher and electric heating is well developed. On the contrary, the load during
summertime is higher in most of the North African countries (particularly in Algeria and Tunisia), in Cyprus
and Greece, but also in Italy and in Spain, as the demand for cooling is imperative and covers a large period
from June to August.
Development of generation capacity that responds to multiple challenges
In the context of growing demand for electricity, increasing the production capacity in specific countries is
essential to ensure or improve security of supply. Considering the presence of climate targets at the 2030
time-horizon, this results in a strong diversification of sources in favour of renewable energies, while fossil
production capacities show a slight decline.
As shown in Figure 17, all three scenarios report a significant increase in the total installed generation
capacity, in the range of +36% to +71% compared to the installed capacity in the year 2020. The Proactive
Scenario results in the largest increase due to the high economic growth and the great ambitions for RES
development, while the installed capacity for Inertial scenario shows the most moderate increase.
Figure 17. Installed capacity in the Mediterranean countries
All three scenarios show a decrease of coal and lignite power plant capacity, in line with phase-out plans,
with an acceleration of shutdowns in several Mediterranean countries in South-Eastern Europe. The
generation capacity of gas-fired power plants remains generally constant, reflecting an overall reduction in
capacity in most European countries of the Mediterranean and a slight increase in the MENA countries, in
particular in the Mediterranean Ambition scenario.
The evolution of nuclear capacity is a constant global trend, even showing an increase (+11 GW) in the
Mediterranean Ambition scenario, where the capacity in Europe is maintained while a significant
development is noted in several MENA countries, such as Türkiye and Egypt.
Figure 18 shows the remarkable development of solar and wind capacity in all Mediterranean countries.
Figure 18. Installed renewable capacity in 2020 for the three scenarios for the Mediterranean
The massive, rapid increase in solar capacity is expected to be mostly driven by a further cost decline to
produce PV modules, combined with the availability of natural resources. In the Proactive scenario, the
installed PV capacity is expected to reach 365 GW – more than five times the capacity in 2020.
New RES to meet the increase in electricity demand
While electricity consumption is expected to increase from 19% to 34% by 2030 for the entire Mediterranean
region, this excess consumption is more than satisfied by the increase in generation from renewable sources,
as shown in Figure 19.
Figure 19. Electricity generation in 2020 and for the three scenarios for the Mediterranean
Fossil-fuelled generation does not increase in any of the three scenarios, and even shows an overall drop of
nearly 10% in the Mediterranean Ambition scenario. However, it should be noted that the sharp decline in
coal and lignite production, which fell by almost 50% in the Inertial scenario, accounts for only 2% of the
total generation in the Mediterranean Ambition scenario.
For the Inertial scenario, nearly half (46.6%) of the consumption is covered by renewable generation,
whereas this proportion was around 29% in 2020 (and 23% in 2015). Table 8 shows these percentages for
the three scenarios. Hydro generation is experiencing a modest increase in energy, but its overall share is
declining. At the same time, wind and solar production show a spectacular increase, jointly covering one
third (32% in then Inertial scenario) to 46% of demand, depending on the scenario.
Consumption covered by RES
29.0%
46.6%
58.9%
56.1%
From which Wind generation
8.8%
18.3%
24.8%
24.9%
From which Solar generation
4.4%
13.9%%
21.1%
18.3%
From which Hydro generation*
13.9%
11.3%
10.0%
10.0%
Table 7. Share of RES in generation in 2020 and for the three scenarios for Mediterranean
*renewable part
While the general trend of massive development of renewable energies is shared by all Mediterranean
countries, differences are notable when examining the evolution of the distribution of fuels between sub-
regions, as Figure 20 illustrates for the three scenarios (with 2020 as the reference year).
Figure 20. Generation share by region
Towards a carbon-free power system
For all Mediterranean countries, CO
2 emissions associated with electricity generation experience a reduction
of between 25% and 32% by 2030 compared to 2019 (the year 2020 isn’t taken as a reference due to the
impact of COVID-19), which corresponds to a decrease of at least 130 million tons per year.
Considering that in 2030 the increase in consumption is expected to range between 25% and 33%, the
decrease in emissions is the consequence of a strong reduction in the average CO
2 content of electricity
generation, from around 270 g CO
2 / kWh in 2019 to around 140 to 170 g CO
2 / kWh in 2030 depending on
the scenarios, as shown in Table 9.
Reduction of CO2 emissions (Mt)
(550)
-25%
-31%
-32%
CO2 content of electricity (gCO2/kWh)
274
173
142
140
Table 8. Expected variation in CO2 emissions in the Mediterranean
Contrasts in Mediterranean that create opportunities for electricity exchange
The average marginal price observed in the various Mediterranean countries can be taken as an interesting
indicator to assess exchange opportunities. On the one hand, it represents the competitiveness of the
national generation fleets to balance internal demand, on the other, it drives electricity exchanges between
countries as a consequence of economic optimizations.
Figure 21 presents the average marginal price by country for the Inertial scenario (unit is €/MWh).
As a result of the highest abundance of CO
2-free generation (renewable and nuclear), France, Portugal and
Spain show the lowest marginal price among Mediterranean countries (around €48 / MWh).
Conversely, in this scenario, Syria, Lebanon, and Libya show the highest marginal price (around 90 €/MWh)
in the region, which can be explained by a tight supply-demand balance and by a significant use of electricity
generation from oil.
Türkiye also shows one of the highest marginal prices (€83 /MWh), which results on the one hand from a
relatively inefficient thermal generation fleet and on the other, from a low import capacity which limits
opportunities on its Western border for importing electricity at lower price, while potentially experiencing
dynamic electricity demand growth.
Figure 21. Marginal price in the Mediterranean for the Inertial scenario
4.2 Presentation of the transmission projects
As anticipated earlier in this document, interconnection projects could be proposed for assessment as a
result of multiple drivers. Interconnectors can provide multiple benefits, such as improving market
efficiency and reducing cost for end-users, integrating more renewables, enhancing security of supply and
stability of power networks, etc.
In this edition of the Masterplan, Med-TSO members proposed a total of 19 interconnection projects to be
assessed.
Figure 22. Corridors and regions to cluster assessed projects
Projects have been clustered into the following five corridors or regions (project clusters) to better reflect
common drivers and needs while also reflecting common geographic and network characteristics.
- West Mediterranean Corridor
- Central Mediterranean Corridor & North Africa Backbone
- East Mediterranean Interconnectors
- Middle East Mediterranean Integration
- Eastern Balkan Corridor
West Mediterranean Corridor
Project 1: Morocco - Portugal
Project 2: Spain - Morocco
Project 3: Algeria - Spain
1.1, 1.2, 2.1, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4, 4.1, 4.2
1.1, 1.2, 2.1, 3.1, 3.4
1.1, 1.2, 2.1, 3.1, 3.3, 3.4
Central Mediterranean Corridor & North Africa Backbone
Project 4: Italy - Tunisia
Project 15: Algeria - Italy
Project 5: Algeria - Tunisia
Project 19: Algeria - Libya
Project 18: Egypt - Libya
+600
+1000
+750
+1000
+1000
1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4, 4.1
1.1, 1.2, 3.2, 3.3
1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 2.1, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4, 4.1, 4.2
N/A
1.1, 1.3, 2.1, 3.3, 3.4
East Mediterranean Interconnectors
Project 6: Egypt - Türkiye
Project 7: Israel - Türkiye
Project 12: Greece - Cyprus - Israel
Project 13: Cyprus - Egypt
Project 16: Egypt - Greece
+3000
+2000
+1000/+1000
+1000
+2000
1.1, 1.2, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4, 4,1
1.1, 1.2, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4
1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 2.1, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4, 4.1, 4.2
1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4
1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 3.3, 3.4
Eastern Balkan Corridor
Project 11: Bulgaria - Türkiye - Greece
Project 17: Italy - Greece
1.1, 1.2, 2.1, 3.4
1.1, 1.2, 3.2, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4, 4.1
Middle East Mediterranean Integration
Project 9: Jordan - Syria
Project 10: Syria - Türkiye
Project 14: Jordan - Palestine
Project 8: Egypt - Jordan
1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 2.1, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4, 4.1
1.1, 1.3, 3.4
1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 2.1, 3.1, 3.3, 3.4, 4.1
1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4, 4.1
Table 9. Projects groups and expected merits
Category
Symbol
Detailed Project Merits
Welfare, Sustainability and SoS
1.1. Reduce high price differentials between different market nodes/countries
1.2. Positively contribute to the reduction of RES curtailment and CO2 emission levels
1.3. Contribute to solving adequacy and security of supply issues
Isolation
2.1. Fully or partially contribute to resolving the isolation
of countries in terms of power system connectivity or to
meeting specific interconnection targets
Operation – Flexibility
3.1. Introduce additional system restoration mechanisms
3.2. Improve system flexibility and stability
3.3. Increase system voltage stability
3.4. Contribute to the integration of new RES generation capacity
Operation – Flows
4.1. Enable cross-border flows to overcome internal grid
congestion
4.2. Mitigate loop flows in bordering systems
The West Mediterranean Corridor
The West Mediterranean Corridor sees the assessments of three projects, involving Algeria, Morocco,
Portugal, and Spain. Such projects involve countries in a naturally well-defined geographical perimeter,
which jointly contribute to the further exploitation of the existing integration between the Iberian electricity
market and the Maghreb region. As a result, the expected benefits of these three projects are aligned, and
in all the three cases, we see a clear positive contribution in terms of:
-
Reducing the electricity price differential between the Iberian Market and the Maghreb countries
and benefitting from the lower prices observed in Portugal and Spain.
-
Increasing the integration of renewables, namely through the avoided curtailment in Portugal and
Spain that can be channelled to the Maghreb countries via the envisaged projects, leading to a
reduction in gas-fueled generation in Algeria and Morocco.
-
Meeting specific interconnection targets, which are quantitatively set in the case of the European
Countries.
-
Adding additional operational flexibility through the technical characteristics of the technologies at
use, namely those associated with VSC-HVDC technology, such as black-start capability and voltage
control.
Project n°1: Morocco - Portugal (MA-PT)
This project consists of a new interconnection between Morocco (Ben Harchane) and Portugal (Tavira) based on an HVDC link, with an envisaged capacity of 1000 MW and a total length of 325 km. This new link is expected to be based on a configuration of two circuits (bipolar converter) of 500 MW each. The project is promoted by the governments of both countries, who have jointly launched the elaboration of a feasibility study.
The Moroccan grid is currently interconnected with Spain through two submarine links, enabling Net Transfer Capacities of 900 MW from Spain to Morocco and 600 MW from Morocco to Spain. By 2030, a third cable is expected to be commissioned, increasing the transfer capacities to 1600 MW and 1300 MW respectively. Moreover, being part of the COMELEC grid, Morocco is interconnected to Algeria through two 400 kV transmission lines and two 220 kV transmission lines, enabling an estimated Net Transfer Capacity of 1000 MW.
Portugal is a member of ENTSO-E and part of the Continental Europe Synchronous Area. Presently, Portugal is interconnected with Spain, through six 400 kV transmission lines and three 220 kV transmission lines. This interconnection infrastructure leads to estimated Net Transfer Capacities of c.3300 MW and c.2600 MW, considering power flows from Portugal to Spain and from Spain to Portugal respectively. Considering the grid developments foreseen in coming years, the NTC values between Portugal and Spain are projected to reach 3500 MW (flow from Portugal to Spain) and 4200 MW (flow from Spain to Portugal) before 2030.
Project n°2: Spain - Morocco (ES-MA)
This project consists of a new interconnection between Morocco (Ben Harchane) and Spain (Puerto de la
Cruz). In addition to the two existing links, the project consists of a third link, based on HVAC technology,
which will increase the NTC between both countries by 650 MW from Spain to Morocco and 600 MW in the
other direction. The total length of the interconnection line is estimated at around 100 km, including a 30
km subsea cable.
This project is promoted by ONEE and REE and is included in the latest edition of the Spanish National
Development Plan. It is considered mature enough thanks to its short length and considering that the two
grids have been synchronized since 1997, when the first interconnection between Spain and Morocco
entered into operation. For this reason, the project is studied in line with a TOOT approach and is considered
in the reference grid for 2030.
Project n°3: Algeria - Spain (DZ-ES)
This project consists of a new interconnection between Algeria (Ain Fatah) and Spain (Carril) to be made
through an HVDC submarine cable. The HVDC interconnection will have a capacity of 1000 MW and a total
length of around 290 km. The maximum depth for the installation of the undersea cable will be around 2000
m.
The Spanish grid is currently interconnected to France, Portugal, and Morocco, with transfer capacities with
all neighbours expected to increase by 2030. The NTC between Spain and France is expected to reach 5000
MW (export and import). The transfer capacity between Spain and Portugal will reach around 4200 MW
(export) and 3500 MW (import) before 2030. The third interconnection cable between Spain and Morocco
will allow a total transfer capacity of 1550 MW (export) and 1200 MW (import).
On the other side, the Algerian grid is interconnected to Tunisia (250 MW in both directions) and Morocco
(1000 MW in both directions).
Central Mediterranean Corridor & North Africa Backbone
This group includes four interconnection projects strengthening Maghreb countries interconnections and
linking them to the Italian Network which presented a high integration rate of renewables in its energy mix
together with an overcapacity of the thermal power plants. Demand in Tunisia and Algeria is expected to
double within the coming ten years, while the Italian TSO is expecting a saturation of its demand and is
looking for new markets in order to optimize the renewable power flows to and from the islands of Sicily
and Sardinia.
From the other side, Libya is presenting one of highest Mediterranean marginal prices, which justifies any
new interconnection seeking to satisfy the Libyan demand with additional import from fossil-fuelled
generation in Algeria and well-developed renewables generation from both Italy and Tunisia. Preliminary
results of the current Masterplan have shown one of the highest numbers of saturation hours in the
interconnections linking Tunisia to Libya. For this reason, the North African Backbone project linking the
Algerian and Libyan systems through the Tunisian grid generated more benefits than the sum of the two
segments of the project (Tunisia – Algeria and Tunisia – Libya). This justified our theory and reinforced the
position of considering the Backbone as one project.
New interconnection also means greater flexibility and the ability to increase the share of renewables on
both coasts of the Mediterranean Sea. For this reason, this cluster is expected to reduce the total amount of
curtailed renewables. In addition, STEG is expecting that it will prevent the constant need for new
investments in power production units and provide access to a guaranteed electricity at a lower cost.
Project n°4: Italy - Tunisia (IT-TN)
The Tunisia-Italy interconnection will be the first link between these two countries, as well as in the central
corridor between the North and the South shores of the Mediterranean. This project, which is expected to
be completed by 2028, has been intensely promoted by Terna and STEG, with full support of the
governments of Italy, Tunisia, France, and Germany, together with the European Commission, which
included the interconnection in the list of Projects of Common Interest (PCI) and recently awarded Terna
and STEG a €307 M CEF grant to finance the project. The potential of this interconnection is considered to
be deeply strategic for both countries in terms of RES power flow optimization and grid operation, in order
to ensure security and adequacy standards.
Considering its maturity, the Tunisia – Italy project is already included in the reference grid considered for
the base case of Med-TSO studies. Consequently, this project has been analyzed with a TOOT methodology
in all Mediterranean Masterplans since 2015. It consists of a new HVDC link between Menzel Temime in the
Cap Bon region of Tunisia and Partanna in the south of Sicily. The converter stations will be VSC technology
on both sides with marine return. The maximum depth of the sea is not expected to exceed 850 m and the
voltage will be ±500 KV DC.
Project n°15: Algeria - Italy (DZ-IT)
There are presently no existing interconnections between Algeria and Italy. The Algeria grid is currently
interconnected with Morocco and Tunisia, while the Italian grid is currently interconnected with France,
Switzerland, Austria, Slovenia, Greece, and Montenegro. Italy is a member of ENTSO-E and part of the
Continental Europe Synchronous Area.
The project consists of a new interconnection between Algeria (Cheffia) and Italy (Cagliari Sud) through an
HVDC submarine cable. The HVDC interconnection will have a capacity of 1000 MW and a total length of
around 350 km. The maximum depth for the installation of the undersea cable is estimated to be over 2000
m. On the Algerian side, the connection of the HVDC Converter Station to the national grid will comprise two
50 km 400 kV AC overhead lines.
It is worth noting that this project is an explorative study proposed by Sonelgaz which is not currently related
to any official planning activity by the TSOs involved. In fact, this project is not included in either of the
respective National Development Plans by Sonelgaz and Terna.
Project n°5: Algeria - Tunisia (DZ-TN)
The first interconnection between Algeria and Tunisia was implemented in the 1950s and there are now five
interconnection lines between these two countries (two 90kV lines, one 150kV line, one 225kV line and one
400 kV line). Both electrical systems have been operated in synch with the Continental Europe one since
1997, following the commissioning of the Morocco – Spain interconnection. On the 2030 horizon, all 90 kV
and 150 kV lines will be decommissioned and the estimated total Net Transfer Capacity of the
interconnection between these countries is expected to decrease to 250 MW.
The new interconnection project between Algeria (Oglet Ouled Mahboub) and Tunisia (Kondar) will increase
the total expected NTC between the countries by an additional 750 MW. The project consists of a second
400 kV AC overhead line with a 1000 MW nominal capacity and total length of around 220 km.
Project n°18: Egypt - Libya (EG-LY)
Libya and Egypt have been electrically interconnected since May 1998 via a 167 km 220 kV, double circuit
AC overhead transmission line (OHTL). The 220 kV OHTL connects Al Saloum (Egypt) to Tobruk (Libya)
substations with an exchange capability of around 240 MW.
This project consists of a new 500 kV double circuit OHTL between Tobruk (Libya) and Saloum (Egypt) with a
total length of around 170 km. This could theoretically increase the interconnection capacity from the
current 240 MW to 2240 MW. However, the NTC used for the assessment of the project has been limited to
1000 MW for operational reasons.
Project n°19: Algeria - Libya (DZ-LY)
There is currently no existing interconnection between Algeria and Libya. The project consists of a new
interconnection between Algeria through the south of both countries through a 40 0kV OHL of 1000 MW capacity
and a length of around 520 km (500 km on the Algerian side, 20km on the Libyan side). Since the load concentration
in Libya is in the north (300 km further), other ways and connections points through the north will be investigated.
The East Mediterranean Interconnectors
This group includes five interconnection projects and connects countries belonging to the two shores of
the Eastern Mediterranean region, thus creating new electricity corridors in the region and providing
mutual benefits resulting from the complementary characteristics and energy prices of the countries
involved. More specifically, this cluster includes:
- Two interconnection projects linking the Turkish System to those of Egypt and Israel.
-
two interconnection projects linking the System of Cyprus to those of Egypt and Israel to the Greek
System.
- one interconnection project linking the Greek System to the Egyptian System.
The two most populated countries in the Eastern Mediterranean, Türkiye and Egypt, are experiencing
significant growth in their electricity consumption, which could reach up to 450 TWh and 300 TWh
respectively by 2030. Both projects connected to Türkiye show benefits linked to marginal price differences
between countries.
The system of Cyprus which is currently in autonomous operation is expected to be interconnected with
Greece, Israel, and Egypt through high-capacity HVDC interconnections of. This would bring benefits
associated with the security of supply issue, higher RES integration on the island and a reduction in fossil
fuel dependency.
Project n°6: Egypt - Türkiye (EG-TR)
At present there are no interconnections between Egypt and Türkiye. The Egyptian grid is currently
interconnected with the grids of Libya, Jordan, and Sudan. A new HVDC interconnection between Egypt and
Saudi Arabia is currently under construction and NTC between the two countries is expected to be 3000 MW
before 2030. The Turkish grid is interconnected synchronously with the grids of Greece, Bulgaria, and
asynchronously with Iran and Georgia via HVDC back-to-back links. Furthermore, there are interconnection
lines between Syria, Iraq, and Azerbaijan which are operated in an isolated region mode.
The project consists of a new interconnection between Türkiye (Adana) and Egypt (Port Said), to be
completed through an 800 km submarine 3000 MW HVDC link. It is worth noting that this project is not yet
included in the Egyptian National Plan. This document presents the explorative study of the project
performed by Med-TSO in the framework of the TEASIMED Project.
Project n°7: Israel - Türkiye (IL-TR)
The Turkish grid is interconnected synchronously with the grids of Greece and Bulgaria, and asynchronously
with Iran and Georgia via HVDC back-to-back links. There are also interconnection lines between Syria, Iraq,
Azerbaijan which are operated as isolated region mode.
The project consists of a new interconnection between Israel and Türkiye to be completed through 500 km
HVDC submarine cable. The new HVDC submarine link is expected to be implemented using VSC technology
considering the advantages over LCC. The project aims to increase the interconnection capacity between
Türkiye and Israel to 2000 MW and develop a new corridor in the Eastern Mediterranean.
Project n°12: Greece - Cyprus - Israel (GR-CY-IL)
Greece is strongly interconnected with Italy, Türkiye and its neighbouring Balkan countries with 1 DC and 6
AC interconnections: one with Türkiye, one with Bulgaria, two with North Macedonia, two with Albania and
one with Italy.
Cyprus is a member of the EU, but it is fully isolated from electricity or gas interconnections. Currently, RES
penetration on the island is limited due to its autonomous operation. An increase of RES penetration, in line
with ambitious EU targets, would severely affect the island’s security of supply.
The project consists of two new interconnections: one between Greece (Crete) and Cyprus, and one between
Cyprus and Israel, to be completed with HVDC submarine cables with a total length of around 1200 km
(approx. 314 km between Cyprus and Israel, 894 km between Cyprus and Crete). The HVDC link with a
capacity of 1000 MW should leverage VSC technology and allow for transmission of electricity in both
directions. Nevertheless, due to stability reasons the import/export capacity seen from Cyprus power system
is limited at 500 MW.
The project has entered its construction phase and has had access to EU co-financing. In particular, the first
segment (Greece – Cyprus) has secured €657 million of EU funding. For this reason, this project is considered
mature enough to be in the reference grid of the year 2030.
The main driver for the completion of the project is to end the Cyprus energy isolation. The interconnection
of the system of Cyprus is expected to unlock the integration of a high percentage of RES and promote
substantial RES development on the island, resulting in a subsequent reduction of CO
2 emissions and offering
significant economic and environmental benefits to the involved countries. Further to that, the project is
expected to create a new transfer route between Israel-Cyprus-Crete-Greece, providing mutual benefits in
the complementary characteristics and energy prices of the countries involved.
Project n°13: Cyprus - Egypt (CY-EG)
At present, the system of Cyprus is electrically isolated, while the Egyptian grid is interconnected with the
grids of Libya, Jordan, Sudan, and a new interconnection with Saudi Arabia will be underway by 2030.
This project consists of one new interconnection which includes two cables (2×500MW) to be constructed
from Egypt to Cyprus, with respective rating of DC to AC converters. The project will connect the Egyptian
grid to Cyprus at Kofinou substation. More precisely in the case of Cyprus, the international interconnection
cables 4×500M W for Crete and Israel and 2×500 MW from Egypt will end up on the Cyprus shore, in a single
point/single location. Two DC/AC converters that are rated 500 MW will allow inflow and outflow of energy
from and to the island. However, due to stability reasons, import and export capacity for Cyprus is limited to
500 MW.
Project n°16: Egypt – Greece (EG-GR)
The Egypt-Greece interconnection is studied as the first vertical corridor in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea.
The project consists of a bipolar HVDC interconnector with a capacity of 2000 MW and two AC/DC converter
stations located on the two sides: Traffiah in Egypt and Attica in Greece. The submarine route length is
preliminarily estimated to be about 843 km, with 20 km of DC underground cable lines on the Greek side.
Notably, the DC transmission lines on the Egyptian side, from the landing point to the converter station, are
not described and are not included.
Note: The Promoter’s project of the cross-border interconnection between Greece and Egypt, which is
supported by both TSOs, has a different technical description, although the process of including the project
of the Electrical Interconnection Greece – Egypt in the PCI list has commenced. Therefore, specific technical
and economic parameters (e.g., capacity, HVDC technology, voltage level, budget cost, etc.) of the
interconnection are under investigation in cooperation with the project promoter.
The Eastern Balkan Corridor
This corridor includes two interconnection projects: “Bulgaria – Türkiye – Greece” and “Italy – Greece”. The
first project aims to increase the existing NTC between Türkiye and the Continental Europe Synchronous
Area (CESA), which are already synchronously connected. This project increases the NTC between Türkiye
and Greece by about 600 MW and between Türkiye and Bulgaria about 700-1100 MW. The second project
aims to increase the existing NTC between Italy and Greece by an additional 500 MW. It connects the
Galatina (Italy) and Arachthos (Greece) substations with an HVDC submarine cable.
The increased interconnection capacity between Türkiye and CESA via the Bulgaria – Türkiye – Greece project
will enable transfer of the large amount of renewable energy from the Balkan region to Türkiye. It will result
in a reduction of thermal generation and CO
2 emissions in Türkiye. The Italy – Greece project will lead to
double interconnection capacity and increase reliability between Italy and Greece.
Project n°11: Bulgaria – Türkiye – Greece (BG-TR-GR)
In 2010, the Turkish power system was synchronized to the Continental Europe Synchronous Area (CESA),
with Greece and Bulgaria being part of the CESA to Türkiye transmission corridor. At present, there is one
interconnection between Greece and Bulgaria, one between Greece and Türkiye and two between Bulgaria
and Türkiye, with NTC values currently limited to 650 MW in CESA in the Türkiye direction and 500 MW in
the opposite direction. The second interconnection between Greece and Bulgaria and the related
strengthening of the 400 KV South-East Bulgaria, which is underway, are expected to contribute to the
increase of NTC to 1350 MW in the CESA to Türkiye direction and to 1250 MW in the opposite direction.
Currently Greece is strongly interconnected with 1 DC and 6 AC interconnections: besides the
interconnections with Türkiye and Bulgaria, Greece is interconnected with North Macedonia, Albania, and
Italy. The Turkish grid, besides the interconnections with Greece and Bulgaria, is currently interconnected
with the grids of Syria, Iraq, Iran, and Georgia.
The project consists of two new interconnections: one between Greece and Türkiye, and one between
Bulgaria and Türkiye, to be completed through AC overhead lines. Promoted by IPTO, TEIAS and ESO, it aims
to further increase the interconnection capacity between Türkiye and the CESA by about 1000 MW.
Project n°17: Italy – Greece (IT-GR)
The Southern area of Italy is characterized by a particularly saturated grid and demand by growing energy
transits in the presence of strong inputs of renewable production and by conventional generation groups
necessary for the correct functioning and stability of the electricity system. In order to achieve policy
targets, guarantee a safe operation of the network and increase markets and services efficiency, it will be
crucial in the coming years to increase the transport capacity of the Southern region through new
interconnections with foreign countries. Therefore, the presence of the current Italy-Greece HVDC
connection, already capable of accommodating a second connection, has led to the identification of the
doubling of the interconnection as an efficient development intervention (a further 500 MW for a total of
1000 MW in bipolar configuration). In this context, the existing HVDC connection between Italy and Greece
(LCC technology – 500 MW) has contributed to the safe management of the entire Southern area since
2001, thanks to the possibility of evacuating excess power towards Eastern Europe (Export) or of providing
adequate load coverage and reserve margins for the Southern area (Import).
The project consists of one new interconnection between Italy and Greece to be completed through HVDC
submarine cables. The project aims to further increase the interconnection capacity between Italy and
Greece by an additional 500 MW.
The project comprises of the following infrastructure:
- A new VSC HVDC Converter Station in Galatina (Italy)
- A new VSC HVDC Converter Station in Arachthos (Greece)
-
A new 400 kV HVDC submarine cable between Galatina (Italy) and Arachthos (Greece) of about 320
km in length.
The proposal assessed in this Masterplan involves the doubling of the existing interconnection (by an
additional 500 MW for a total of 1000 MW). However, assessments have been undertaken to verify the
feasibility of building the new connection in a 1000 MW bipolar configuration (rather than 500 MW) for a
total of 1500 MW, mapping project efficiencies and synergies and taking into account the useful life of the
existing connection.
Middle East Mediterranean Integration
This cluster includes four interconnection projects foreseeing new OHL for the reinforcement of the
connection of the countries of the Eastern Mediterranean region, with the aim of further increasing the
existing NTC between the involved countries.
The main merit of these projects is the Security of Supply improvement for the benefit of Syria and
Palestine, who should profit from increased import capacity from Türkiye and from Jordan.
Project n°8: Egypt – Jordan (EG-JO)
Jordan and Egypt have electrically interconnected since 1998 via a 13 km 400 kV, AC submarine cable (3 + 1
spare) submersed at a depth of 850 m across Taba to the Gulf of Aqaba with an exchange capability of 550
MW. Project 8 consists of a second interconnection between Jordan and Egypt to be completed through a
13 km 400 kV, AC submarine cable. It is expected to increase the current transfer capacity between the
two countries to reach 1100 MW, aiming to mitigate possible overloads in the path of the interconnection.
The Egyptian grid is currently interconnected with the grids of Libya, Jordan, and Sudan. A new HVDC
interconnection between Egypt-Saudi Arabia is currently underway and NTC between the two countries is
expected to reach 3000 MW before 2030. This new interconnection is part of the interconnected 400 kV
electric grid which is planned in the area, linking the GCC Interconnection Authority Grid (connecting the
grids of the six GCC countries at 400 kV) with the systems of Jordan and Egypt, with the aim of enhancing
system reliability, improving quality of supply and paving the way for the creation of an electrical energy
market in the Arab region. In addition to Egypt, the Jordanian grid is currently interconnected to Palestine,
Syria, and Iraq.
Project n°9: Jordan - Syria (JO-SY)
A first interconnection between Jordan and Syria was implemented in January 2001. The Jordanian and
Syrian grids are linked with one 400 kV single circuit transmission line of 154 km connecting the Der Ali
400/230 kV substation in Syria with the Amman North 400/132 kV substation in Jordan, with a designed
transmission capacity of 800 MW. In the current situation, this interconnection is out of operation.
The assessed project consists of one new interconnection between the two countries to be completed
through an AC overhead line. It is expected to increase the current transfer capacity between Jordan and
Syria of around an additional 1000 MW. This will mainly meet Syrian demand and also integrate more
renewable resources and base load units in the region.
Project n°10: Syria - Türkiye (SY-TR)
The project consists of one additional interconnection between Syria and Türkiye to be completed through
AC overhead lines. The project aims to further increase the interconnection capacity between the two
countries by about 600 MW.
The project comprises of the following infrastructure:
-
A new 400 kV AC overhead interconnection line of about 115 km between Birecik HPP in Türkiye and Syria
-
Upgrading of the B2B converter station on the Turkish side to 1200 MW (already featured in the
investment plan of TEIAS).
Project n°14: Jordan - Palestine (JO-PS)
In the present situation, the Palestinian territories (West Bank and Gaza) depend mainly on Israel for
electricity supply. The West Bank is also supplied through a 2x33 kV interconnection with Jordan to Jericho
on an isolated-grid basis.
The project consists of one new interconnection between Jordan and Palestine to be completed through an
AC 132 kV overhead line. It is expected to increase the transfer capacity from Jordan to Palestine by about
200 MW, aiming to feed power demand in Palestine on an isolated-grid basis.
The project is promoted by NEPCO and PETL.